A friend recently emailed me a Fox News article (8/27/14) which states that due to a carbon-reduction law passed by former Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, gasoline taxes will rise $0.20 to $1.30/gallon in January.  Much of the article portrays that as a terrible thing, of course.  Toward the end it points out that, "Revenue from the auction is deposited into California's greenhouse gas 
reduction account. There it is used not just to reduce emissions or the 
cost of pollution controls for business, but also to build low-income 
housing near mass-transit hubs and support construction of the state's 
high-speed rail project."
That got me thinking--and writing my friend a long reply which I decided to post here (in case anyone's reading this blog, which I strongly doubt since I virtually never post to it)...
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    Interesting indeed.  I had no idea gas prices were going to jump up 
as this predicts they will next year (by $0.20 to $1.30).  Wow... Glad 
I'm not still commuting to La Jolla High--or worse, Lincoln High 30 
miles away.  Makes me think twice about continuing to sub--mostly at 
Lincoln--for a whopping $16.89/hr., or about $120/day take-home after 
withholding.  Now I'll have to subtract $11 instead of $8 for the 
60-mile round trip (my Honda Civic averages about 32 mpg).  Hmm... on that second thought, $3/day isn't really 
going to change my behavior.
    See, that's the problem.  As long as the cost of continuing business
 (more accurately, personal and commercial transportation) as usual only
 creeps up incrementally over time--even jumping 33% in January ($1.30 
increase to current $4.00 price) I don't think is going to force that 
much change in behavior.  And, to be fair, what choice do most of us 
have?  Very few can afford to replace their current vehicles with new 
EVs, and public transportation--in SoCal at least--isn't even close to 
what it needs to be to provide a viable alternative.  You work mostly 
from home and I don't have to commute anymore (though I do make the 
70-mile round trip about once a week to visit my mom & stepdad in 
Chula Vista), but for most people not driving their own car would mean 
giving up their current jobs.  Heck, I once tried to figure out how to 
get to LJ High via Coaster and buses and figured I probably couldn't get
 there by 6:30 a.m.--when I needed to arrive--in any case, and the combination of train, bus(es--I'd 
have to transfer at least once), and walking would probably take over 
two hours each way given their schedules.
    I'm all for this tax, because it will definitely get people's 
attention and it will cause some folks to modify their behaviors... more
 car-pooling, use of public transportation, some  buying new vehicles 
may decide they really will forgo the truck or SUV in favor of a 
smaller, higher-gas-mileage option, etc.  But I don't think it's until 
gas is $8-$10/gallon that we'll really see anything like the kind of 
change the solution requires... and maybe not even then.  At that point 
I'll have to sell my 16 mpg VW camper (which will be worth next to 
nothing 'cause no one will want it) and we'll have to change our 
lifestyle considerably... no more jumping in the car to have lunch with 
friends, several shopping trips a week to multiple markets to buy the 
foods we prefer, maybe drive to CV once a month instead of once a week 
and/or take the Coaster and tram and bus--and about five hours travel 
time--to do it.  And probably no more subbing in SD Unified schools.
    Use of this revenue?  I think building more low-income housing near 
mass-transit hubs is a good idea--it's the poor who increased fuel 
prices affect the most (relative to their income).  But building a 
high-speed rail system?  No!...  This benefits mostly only people who 
travel between SD and LA (etc.) on a frequent basis, and most of them 
are not low-income.  Better use would be funding research & 
development of better (more convenient and available) mass transit and 
alternatives to fossil fuel-powered vehicles and the necessary (and 
low-to-non carbon-producing) infrastructure to support them.
    A lot of people are going to be very angry when gas prices jump (and
 I'm hardly thrilled at the prospect).  But IMHO they're not really 
getting the big picture.  And as global climate change's effects 
continue to be more and more drastic and immediately-felt, they're really going to be angry--and blaming it all on everything and everyone else, of course.
    Oh, and by the way, if I'm not mistaken Big Oil is still getting Big
 Money (deductions, subsidies, etc.) from the federal government while 
continuing to make Big Profits.  What's up with that?  How about we quit giving them all
 that Big Money and make them take the increased carbon taxes from their
 Big Profits instead of passing it on to consumers?  Given the 
money-and-politics situation I know, that'll never happen--makes too 
much sense and hurts the 1% too much.
Saturday, August 30, 2014
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